Investing in the US Markets
The expected slow down in the US economy and the dollar fluctuations make investments in the US markets less appealing. I have an idea that may work in this situation:
Find a US company that
- Is healthy with fair growth potential
- Significant amount of its revenue comes from exports and international sales (large caps).
I did not research any particular stocks but examples could be P&G or Boeing.
Now if the US economy does slow down and the US dollar continues to drop, our company will not suffer, since much of its revenue come from sales in other countries and in currencies other than US dollar. This actually benefit the company since it magnifies the revenue in terms of US dollar. In addition, the drop in the US dollar increases the competitiveness of our company since its costs at home (e.g. research, head office, salaries) are in US$ and decrease compared to the international competitors.
As a different scenario, if the currency goes in the opposite direction (increase in the US dollar) then we will benefit since the value of the stock will increase in terms of Canadian dollar. In this case we have used the strong Canadian dollar to purchase assets in the US.
2 Comments:
I like this hypothesis. I was looking for some other large multinationals, like MSFT, JNJ,or DIS might fit the bill. But I haven't done the fundy's yet.
I also agree with the theme of this investment idea. I think I like GE the best in this category. The company has made power generation, and water infrastructure priorities which I see as huge growth industries. 2006 annual revenue was 163 billion with a capital B. I don't specifically know how much of this was from overseas but even if only a third, that's 50 odd billion times the exchange rate of a falling dollar!
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