AGM recap
This was our third year of consensus investing and the results have been mixed. At our annual review on Dec 6th, we discussed possible future investments. Here is a summary:
- refocus on short to medium term investments- 3 to 6 month time frame should keep ideas fresh as well as frequent reevaluation
- focus on capital gains and less on dividend type plays that take may take longer to play out
- Cdn investments seem preferable at this time due to it's stronger banking and debt situation as compared to other regions of the world
- continue holding RY for exposure to the Cdn financials, although we may have been early on this one
- we already have broad commodities exposure via COWS - an agricultural ETF - and a debate about further commoditiy exposure to either oil or gold was considered
- we lamented the fact that Canada's economy was mostly commodities and RIM, and Lululemon - there is virtually no retail investments (with a brief mention of Loblaws and Shoppers)
- considered an investment in the only growth story in Canada - LULU but a cautious approach was taken as it has already moved up considerably
- a gold position was considered to capture the upward momentum with the European debt crisis playing out
- gold is a neutral currency, a safe haven investment, as well as an inflation hedge
- an exit strategy for the proposed gold/precious metals investment would include looking at the correlation between the general market and gold (i.e. if the market was moving ahead but gold plateaued, we would consider that a sell signal)
- bonds, uranium, timber, pharma, and tech were given passing consideration

2 Comments:
woops, just checked the LULU release and the stock is up 14% on the earnings release! Guess we missed this one.
Just saw a snippet of wisdom in the G&M, posted here:
What’s bad for Greece is good for Germany: In early 2008, just before the financial crisis hit markets with a thermonuclear intensity, the euro peaked out at $1.60 (U.S.). It’s now about $1.33, thanks in good part to the Greek- and Irish-inspired debt disasters, and could easily go lower. Germany may not like sponsoring the two countries’ bailout packages, but it’s loving the sinking euro. Driven by surging exports, Germany has recovered with remarkable speed; its GDP growth, at 3.7 per cent this year, is the euro zone’s highest and better than that of the U.S. or Japan. The value of German exports is back to precrisis levels. So when Germans moan about Greece, they are only half serious.
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